What Current Polling Tells Us About the Upcoming Elections, with Lee Miringoff and Inara de Leon
What Current Polling Tells Us About the Upcoming Elections, with Lee Miringoff and Inara de Leon
April 9, 2024 @10:30-11:45am
Dr. Lee Miringoff, Founder and Director of the widely regarded Marist College Institute of Public Opinion, looks at the current scene in politics through the lens of polling. Now that the presidential race is down to two candidates, what is the state of play? A recent New York Times poll showed potentially big problems for the Biden campaign with apathy in key voting groups like Latinos and Blacks, even women. Will the ongoing humanitarian disaster in Gaza affect this race? Still, Donald Trump also has big liabilities, including unfolding financial and legal problems. Also, can the Democrats hold onto their slim majority in the Senate? Key races are shaping up in Ohio, North Carolina, and Nevada, among others. Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.'s third party candidacy continues to cause anxiety in a presidential race that could hinge on just a few votes in swing states. Does he hurt Democrats or Republicans more? While poll numbers seem to offer concrete, quantifiable answers to these questions, Dr. Miringoff will explain how to interpret those numbers – which polls are considered “better” or more accurate than others? Which are non-partisan, and why? What other questions might you have about polls? Inara was a longtime producer of politics at WNBC and NBC News.